The global
marketplace has changed dramatically over the past several years. New investment
strategies are becoming more important in order to minimize risk, as well as
to maintain high portfolio returns. Among the most rewarding of the markets opening
up to traders is the Foreign Exchange market. Identifiable trading patterns,
as well as comparatively low margin requirements, offer many trading opportunities.
Forex
Market Background
In contrast to the world’s stock markets,
foreign exchange is traded without the
constraints of a central physical exchange.
Transactions are instead conducted via
telephone or online. With this transaction
structure as its foundation, the
Foreign Exchange Market has become by
far the largest marketplace in the world.
Average volume in foreign exchange
exceeds $1.9 trillion per day versus only
$25 billion per day traded on the New York
Stock Exchange. This high volume is
advantageous from a trading standpoint.
As a result, foreign exchange trading has
long been recognized as a superior investment
opportunity by major banks, multinational
corporations and other institutions.
Spot foreign exchange is always traded as one
currency in relation to another. So a trader who believes that
the dollar will rise in relation to the Euro, would
sell EURUSD. That is, sell Euros and buy US dollars.
World’s Largest Financial
Market
The Foreign Exchange market, also referred to
as the “Forex” or “FX” market is the largest financial
market in the world, with a daily average turnover of
US$1.9 trillion—30 times larger than the combined
volume of all U.S. equity markets. Forex is the simultaneous
exchange of one country’s currency for that of
another. Speculators in the Forex market wish to purchase
or sell one currency for another with the hope
of making a profit when the value of the currencies
changes in favor of the investor, whether from market
news or events that take place in the world. There are
two reasons to buy and sell currencies. About 5% of
daily turnover is from companies and governments that
buy or sell products and services in a foreign country
or must convert profits made in foreign currencies into
their domestic currency. The other 95% is trading for
profit, or speculation.
For speculators, the best trading opportunities are
with the most commonly traded (and therefore most
liquid) currencies, called “the Majors.” Today, more
than 85% of all daily transactions involve trading of
the Majors, which include the US Dollar, Japanese Yen,
Euro, British Pound, Swiss Franc, Canadian Dollar and
Australian Dollar.
Understanding
Forex Quotes
The first currency listed first is the base currency
and the value of the base currency is always 1.
The US dollar is the centerpiece of the Forex market
and is normally considered the ‘base’ currency for
quotes. In the “Majors”, this includes USD/JPY, USD/CHF
and USD/CAD. For these currencies and many others,
quotes are expressed as a unit of $1 USD per the second
currency quoted in the pair. For example, a quote
of USD/JPY 110.01 means that one U.S. dollar is equal
to 110.01 Japanese yen.
When the U.S. dollar is the base unit and a currency quote goes up, it means
the dollar has appreciated in value and the other currency has weakened. If the
USD/JPY quote we previously mentioned increases to 113.01, the dollar is stronger
because it will now buy more yen than before.
The three exceptions to this rule are the British
pound (GBP), the Australian dollar (AUD) and the Euro
(EUR). In these cases, you might see a quote such as
GBP/USD 1.7366, meaning that one British pound
equals 1.7366 U.S. dollars.
In these three currency pairs, where the U.S. dollar
is not the base rate, a rising quote means a weakening
dollar, as it now takes more U.S. dollars to equal one
pound, euro or Australian dollar.
In other words, if a currency quote goes higher, that
increases the value of the base currency. A lower quote
means the base currency is weakening.
Currency pairs that do not involve the U.S. dollar
are called cross currencies, but the premise is the
same. For example, a quote of EUR/JPY 127.95 signifies
that one Euro is equal to 127.95 Japanese yen.
*Disclaimer: Foreign exchange trading,
foreign exchange investments and commodity futures investments are
not suitable for everyone. Forex trading and commodity futures
trading carry a high level of risk and the possibility exists that
you could sustain a loss of all or more of your currency trading
investment. Before you decide to trade foreign currency spot
markets, you should be aware of all risks associated with currency
trading. If you would like more information about the risks of forex
trading, please contact an AmerFx broker to discuss foreign currency
trading risks in detail.